On Wednesday, Trump declared the MOU 'over' at the NATO summit in Ankara. CENTCOM launched a second wave of strikes on Iran — even larger than Tuesday's. The IRGC hit 85 US military facilities in Bahrain and Kuwait in a single day, shot down a US MQ-9 Reaper drone, and Iran declared all US bases in the Middle East 'legitimate targets.' Khalibaf listed 5 US violations. Araghchi: 'if struck, double retaliation.' A Qatari LNG tanker (Al Rekayyat) and a Saudi-flagged crude tanker were hit near Hormuz. Kuwait air defense intercepted missiles and drones. Lebanon deaths since March 2: 4,320. The deal is, on Wednesday evening, the document Trump said is over, and the document Iran is showing is over, on the same day.

On Tuesday, the day the body of Khamenei arrived in Qom for the funeral's day 4, CENTCOM began a 'series of powerful' strikes on Iran — 4-5x the scale of 10 days ago — targeting air defense, coastal surveillance, SAMs, anti-ship missiles, and drone launch sites. 6 explosions hit Qeshm Island, 7 hit Sirik, Bandar Abbas was struck. Iran said the US has violated MOU Articles 1, 2, and 10, and the IRGC struck 3 commercial ships in Hormuz. Pezeshkian cut short his Iraq trip and returned home. Netanyahu publicly opposed the US F-35 sale to Turkey at the NATO summit. Mourners at the funeral called for vengeance on Trump. The deal is, on Tuesday evening, the document the funeral and the bombs are publicly running on.

On Monday, day 3 of Khamenei's 6-day state funeral, Iran ran three parallel operations. Iran's MOIS, IRGC, and National Police jointly destroyed 4 US-Israel-linked terror bases in Sistan-Baluchestan province, killing 2 fighters, capturing 10+, and seizing a Starlink satellite comms kit. Iran-Qatar maritime trade resumed via Al-Ruwais Port. Pezeshkian's resignation threat continued. Netanyahu prepared his Washington visit, telling Fox News he sees no 'rift' with Trump. Pakistan confirmed it will host the next round of US-Iran talks on July 11. The funeral is the public theater. The cleanup, the trade resumption, and the Pezeshkian crisis are the operational ground.

On Sunday, while Tehran held day 2 of Khamenei's 6-day state funeral, every party to the MOU issued an ultimatum. Iranian President Pezeshkian threatened resignation over the decision to negotiate with Washington — the smoking-gun signal that the Iranian system is divided over whether to negotiate at all. Tehran issued a public threat of 'heavy blows' to the US and Israel. The IDF announced an Israeli soldier was kidnapped in Be'er Sheva and taken to Tarqumiya. The Houthis released a new threat video as Shin Bet warned of a 'next October 7' in Eilat. The Board of Peace greenlit tougher Israeli action in Gaza. The IDF chief warned of renewed war with Iran. The funeral procession is the public theater. The structural pressure is the public ultimatums.

On Saturday, two nations held their most important national ceremonies of the decade on the same day. Iran began a 6-day state funeral for the late Supreme Leader Khamenei at Imam Khomeini's Mosalla prayer hall in Tehran. America held its 250th anniversary with Trump at Mount Rushmore, 850,000 fireworks in DC, and the Freedom250 project (an algae-infested reflecting pool, a destroyed South Lawn, a partially demolished East Wing). The new Supreme Leader Mojtaba was not present at his father's funeral due to security concerns. Trump said he 'gave them a week off' to hold the funeral. The 60-day clock is, on Saturday, paused. Two nations processed. Both processions were built on top of a structural void.