On Monday, the US and Iran both said the kinetic activity had stopped — and then issued conflicting statements about Doha. Trump wrote that Iran had 'requested a meeting' that would take place 'tomorrow' in Doha. Iran's Foreign Ministry spokesman Baghaei said no meeting was scheduled. Israel's Defense Minister Katz warned a new war could erupt 'within 48 hours' if Iran fires missiles at Israel. Iran's $6 billion in frozen Qatari assets is on the table. The MOU's procedural framework is now running on two parallel tracks: the US-Iran technical track in Doha, and the Israel-Hezbollah operational track in southern Lebanon. Both tracks are, on Monday, structurally tested by their own internal contradictions.

On Sunday, the US and Iran agreed to halt all kinetic activity and resume peace talks in Doha on Tuesday. The deal had survived its first strike-for-strike cycle. Oman stepped in diplomatically with Macron to support demining and Hormuz safe passage. Republicans, per Axios, began turning against Netanyahu. Rubio intervened to bring the US back to 'sanity' on Lebanon. Dubai airport received its first flight from Tehran since the war began. The MOU's first weekend of mutual strikes ended with the parties agreeing to keep talking — and a market priced the renewed dialogue at oil below $70.

On Friday, CENTCOM conducted strikes on Iranian missile sites, drone storage, and radar installations on Sirik Island. The same day, Trump posted that 'there will come a moment when we will no longer restrain ourselves... if it reaches that point, the Islamic Republic of Iran will cease to exist.' Israel, the US, and Lebanon signed a new framework agreement in Washington. Hezbollah's Qassem rejected the framework as 'null' and 'humiliation.' The Wall Street Journal reported US-Iran technical talks in Switzerland were halted. The MOU's procedural framework, on Friday, was structurally tested against the most inflammatory US presidential statement of the war.

On Thursday, Iran attacked the Singapore-flagged cargo ship M/V Ever Lovely near the Oman coast in the Strait of Hormuz. Minor damage, no casualties. The same day, Ghalibaf publicly mocked US claims that Iran's unfrozen funds would be used to buy American farm products. By Friday, CENTCOM conducted strikes on Iranian missile sites, drone storage, and radar installations on Sirik Island — the first US strikes since the MOU was signed. The MOU's procedural framework is running on a procedural clock. The operational ground is running on a strike-for-strike clock.

On Wednesday, the US Treasury issued the first structural delivery of the MOU: a broad 60-day license allowing Iran to sell crude oil and petroleum products — including to the US — until August 21. Pakistan announced US-Iran technical talks resume June 30. The Senate passed a resolution to limit Trump's war powers on Iran. Trump conceded IAEA inspectors will visit Iran. Brent fell below $73. WTI to $69.86. Gold broke $4,000. The deal's first week produced the first substantive US concession. The first US concession is, structurally, the leverage Iran's negotiating team was buying.